| Tropical
Cyclones
[Index] |
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks March 2004 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - MARCH 2004
!!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!
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SOUTH ATLANTIC (SAT) - Atlantic Ocean South of the Equator
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Cyclone CATARINA (01T) 19 - 28 Mar
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Storm Name: CATARINA Cyclone Number: 01T Basin: SAT
(Name assigned by Brazilian news media / Number from UK Met. Office)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 MAR 19 1800 27.0 S 49.0 W 25 Extratropical
04 MAR 20 0000 26.5 S 48.5 W 25
04 MAR 20 0600 25.3 S 48.0 W 30
04 MAR 20 1200 25.5 S 46.0 W 30
04 MAR 20 1800 26.5 S 44.5 W 30
04 MAR 21 0000 26.8 S 43.0 W 30
04 MAR 21 0600 27.5 S 42.0 W 30
04 MAR 21 1200 28.7 S 40.5 W 30
04 MAR 21 1800 29.5 S 39.5 W 30
04 MAR 22 0000 30.9 S 38.5 W 30
04 MAR 22 0600 31.9 S 37.0 W 30
04 MAR 22 1200 32.3 S 36.7 W 30
04 MAR 22 1800 31.5 S 36.5 W 30
04 MAR 23 0000 30.7 S 36.7 W 30
04 MAR 23 0600 29.8 S 37.0 W 30
04 MAR 23 1200 29.5 S 37.5 W 30
04 MAR 23 1800 29.4 S 38.1 W 35
04 MAR 24 0000 29.3 S 38.5 W 35 Subtropical/hybrid
04 MAR 24 0600 29.2 S 38.8 W 35
04 MAR 24 1200 29.1 S 39.0 W 35
04 MAR 24 1800 29.1 S 39.4 W 40
04 MAR 25 0000 29.0 S 39.9 W 40
04 MAR 25 0600 28.9 S 40.4 W 45 Tropical storm
04 MAR 25 1200 28.7 S 41.2 W 50
04 MAR 25 1800 28.7 S 41.9 W 55
04 MAR 26 0000 28.7 S 42.6 W 60
04 MAR 26 0600 28.7 S 43.1 W 65
04 MAR 26 1200 28.8 S 43.7 W 70
04 MAR 26 1800 28.9 S 44.2 W 70
04 MAR 27 0000 29.1 S 44.9 W 70
04 MAR 27 0600 29.2 S 45.6 W 75
04 MAR 27 1200 29.5 S 46.4 W 75
04 MAR 27 1800 29.5 S 47.5 W 80
04 MAR 28 0000 29.3 S 48.3 W 80
04 MAR 28 0600 29.0 S 49.7 W 85
04 MAR 28 1200 28.5 S 50.1 W 60 Inland
04 MAR 28 1800 28.5 S 51.0 W 45
Note: The above track was prepared in its entirety by Roger Edson of
the University of Guam. A special thanks to Roger for sending it.
This system was also numbered as 01L on NRL's website, and in some
e-mail discussion groups was referred to by the name Aldonca--a name
suggested by Roger Edson.
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NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from
warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
(PAGASA). A very special thanks to Michael for the assistance he
so reliably provides.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Storm (02W / BUTCHOY) 16 - 23 Mar
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Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 02W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: BUTCHOY JMA Tropical Storm Number: None
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 MAR 16 1200 6.3 N 136.9 E 1000 30 30 JMA: 5.5N/137.5E
04 MAR 16 1800 7.4 N 134.9 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 6.5N/136.0E
04 MAR 17 0000 5.3 N 136.0 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 5.9N/134.8E
04 MAR 17 0600 5.6 N 135.0 E 1000 30 30 JMA: 6.8N/134.2E
04 MAR 17 1200 6.2 N 134.0 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 6.8N/133.7E
04 MAR 17 1800 6.5 N 133.2 E 1000 25 30 JMA: 7.4N/131.7E
04 MAR 18 0000 7.6 N 131.5 E 1000 25 30
04 MAR 18 0600 8.7 N 130.5 E 998 25 30 JMA: 10.8N/128.9E
04 MAR 18 1200 9.8 N 129.3 E 1000 30 30 JMA: 9.8N/129.3E
04 MAR 18 1800 10.9 N 128.3 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 10.5N/129.1E
04 MAR 19 0000 11.5 N 127.5 E 1002 35 30 JMA: 11.2N/128.2E
04 MAR 19 0600 11.9 N 127.1 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 11.2N/127.7E
04 MAR 19 1200 12.1 N 126.9 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 11.6N/127.5E
04 MAR 19 1800 12.1 N 126.8 E 1000 35 30
04 MAR 20 0000 13.2 N 125.9 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 12.7N/126.8E
04 MAR 20 0600 13.7 N 125.5 E 1000 35 30
04 MAR 20 1200 14.2 N 125.1 E 1000 35 30
04 MAR 20 1800 14.8 N 124.6 E 1000 45 30
04 MAR 21 0000 15.0 N 123.8 E 1000 45 30 JMA: 15.0N/124.7E
04 MAR 21 0600 15.4 N 124.0 E 1000 40 30 JMA: 15.6N/125.1E
04 MAR 21 1200 16.2 N 124.7 E 1000 35 30
04 MAR 21 1800 16.6 N 125.7 E 1000 30 30
04 MAR 22 0000 16.7 N 124.4 E 1004 25 30 PAGASA: 16.9N/125.9E
04 MAR 22 0600 16.7 N 124.2 E 1000 25 30 PAGASA: 17.0N/125.9E
04 MAR 22 1200 17.3 N 126.4 E 1000 30 PAGASA warnings
04 MAR 22 1800 17.5 N 126.5 E 1000 30
04 MAR 23 0000 17.7 N 126.6 E 15
Note: PAGASA was the only one of the Asian TCWCs to upgrade 02W/Butchoy
to tropical storm status. Their highest estimated 10-min avg MSW was
45 kts. NMCC and HKO, along with JMA, rated the system as no more
than a 30-kt (10-min avg) tropical depression. The CWB of Taiwan also
classified the system as a tropical depression, but did not assign any
explicit wind estimations. (A special thanks to Huang Chunliang for
informing me of the peak MSW assignations of the Chinese warning
centres.) The PAGASA and JMA tracks, as well as the JTWC track, may
be found in their entirety at the following link (courtesy of Michael
Padua):
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/stormarchives/2004/stormlogs/
02butchoy04_log.htm>
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SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from
JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Cyclone GAFILO (MFR-09 / 16S) 02 - 15 Mar
Tropical Disturbance (MFR-11 / 21S) 13 - 28 Mar
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Storm Name: GAFILO Cyclone Number: 16S Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 09
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 MAR 02 0600 12.9 S 70.8 E 1002 25
04 MAR 02 1200 13.9 S 69.9 E 1002 25
04 MAR 02 1800 14.1 S 68.5 E 1002 30 25
04 MAR 03 0000 14.3 S 66.0 E 998 30
04 MAR 03 0600 13.4 S 63.7 E 992 45 40 Relocated
04 MAR 03 1200 13.1 S 62.3 E 985 60 50
04 MAR 03 1800 12.6 S 61.3 E 985 65 50 JTWC: 12.3S/60.5E
04 MAR 04 0000 12.2 S 60.7 E 980 55
04 MAR 04 0600 12.2 S 59.8 E 980 65 55
04 MAR 04 1200 12.4 S 58.8 E 970 65
04 MAR 04 1800 13.1 S 58.0 E 970 85 65
04 MAR 05 0000 13.1 S 57.6 E 965 70
04 MAR 05 0600 13.4 S 56.7 E 965 90 75
04 MAR 05 1200 14.0 S 55.9 E 952 85
04 MAR 05 1800 14.4 S 55.1 E 930 125 95
04 MAR 06 0000 14.4 S 54.0 E 925 105
04 MAR 06 0600 14.6 S 53.4 E 900 140 125
04 MAR 06 1200 14.8 S 52.5 E 900 125
04 MAR 06 1800 15.0 S 51.5 E 895 140 125
04 MAR 07 0000 15.0 S 50.5 E 895 125
04 MAR 07 0600 15.1 S 49.4 E 95 65 Inland
04 MAR 07 1200 15.9 S 47.8 E 45
04 MAR 07 1800 16.6 S 46.2 E 75 45 JTWC: 16.2S/46.7E
04 MAR 08 0000 17.0 S 45.0 E 45
04 MAR 08 0600 18.2 S 44.2 E 55 50
04 MAR 08 1200 18.4 S 43.1 E 988 45 Over water
04 MAR 08 1800 18.6 S 42.8 E 987 65 45
04 MAR 09 0000 19.1 S 42.4 E 987 45
04 MAR 09 0600 19.2 S 42.0 E 987 65 45 JTWC: 19.7S/42.0E
04 MAR 09 1200 20.0 S 42.4 E 985 50
04 MAR 09 1800 20.6 S 43.3 E 975 60 60
04 MAR 10 0000 21.7 S 43.9 E 50 Inland
04 MAR 10 0600 22.5 S 45.0 E 987 45 40
04 MAR 10 1200 23.2 S 45.4 E 40
04 MAR 10 1800 23.3 S 45.7 E 988 45 40
04 MAR 11 0000 24.0 S 46.6 E 988 40
04 MAR 11 0600 24.4 S 46.3 E 990 35 40
04 MAR 11 1200 24.0 S 45.5 E 992 35
04 MAR 11 1800 23.9 S 45.6 E 992 25 30 JTWC: 24.5S/46.8E
04 MAR 12 0000 23.6 S 45.4 E 992 25
04 MAR 12 1200 21.9 S 46.3 E 25 No wrng issued at 0600Z
04 MAR 12 1800 23.0 S 47.0 E 996 25
04 MAR 13 0000 23.3 S 47.5 E 997 25
04 MAR 13 0600 23.5 S 48.6 E 999 20 Over water
04 MAR 13 1200 23.6 S 49.2 E 999 20 Final warning
04 MAR 14 1200 26.3 S 56.4 E 1000 30 Subtropical depression
04 MAR 14 1800 26.9 S 58.0 E 1000 25
04 MAR 15 0000 28.0 S 60.0 E 1000 25
04 MAR 15 0600 28.5 S 63.3 E 1002 25
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Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 21S Basin: AUW/SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 11
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 MAR 13 0400 13.0 S 96.5 E 1006 25 Perth Trop. WX Outlooks
04 MAR 14 0400 14.5 S 94.5 E 1002 25
04 MAR 15 0400 15.0 S 89.0 E 1002 25
04 MAR 15 1200 15.5 S 87.1 E 1002 25 La Reunion bulletins
04 MAR 18 0600 16.2 S 75.4 E 1004 25
04 MAR 19 0600 15.2 S 69.2 E 1004 25
04 MAR 20 0600 13.5 S 62.9 E 1004 25
04 MAR 21 1200 10.2 S 57.8 E 1004 20
04 MAR 23 1800 8.5 S 56.0 E 30 JTWC warnings
04 MAR 24 0600 8.6 S 56.1 E 30
04 MAR 24 1200 8.7 S 56.1 E 20
04 MAR 25 0600 9.3 S 53.9 E 1004 20 La Reunion bulletins
04 MAR 26 0600 9.6 S 53.2 S 1005 20 Locally 30 kts to S
04 MAR 28 0600 9.2 S 51.5 E 1006 20
Note: The discontinuous track of this long-lived, tenuous disturbance
bespeaks its weak intensity and the disorganization of its central cloud
features. According to Huang Chunliang, this system was the Indian
Ocean continuation of former Tropical Cyclone Evan which formed in
the Gulf of Carpentaria on 1 March and quickly moved inland and
weakened. The Perth TCWC issued gale warnings on the remnants of
Evan beginning on 3 March in the anticipation that it would regain
tropical cyclone status, but were dropped on the 6th after it had
shown no signs of redevelopment.
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NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western
Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by
the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and
Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates
from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and
annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general
amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Cyclone NICKY-HELMA (17S / MFR-10) 08 - 13 Mar
Severe Tropical Cyclone FAY (18S) 14 - 28 Mar
Severe Tropical Cyclone OSCAR-ITSENG (20S / MFR-12) 20 - 28 Mar
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Storm Name: NICKY-HELMA Cyclone Number: 17S Basin: AUW/SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 10 (First named by Perth TCWC)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 MAR 08 0400 13.6 S 90.6 E 1002 30
04 MAR 08 1000 13.4 S 91.0 E 1002 30 30
04 MAR 08 1600 13.0 S 91.3 E 1002 30
04 MAR 08 2200 13.1 S 91.0 E 1000 25 30
04 MAR 09 0400 13.2 S 90.7 E 995 40 Named TC Nicky by Perth
04 MAR 09 1000 13.4 S 90.5 E 985 50 45
04 MAR 09 1600 14.0 S 90.7 E 985 45
04 MAR 09 2200 14.5 S 90.4 E 985 50 45
04 MAR 10 0400 14.4 S 90.2 E 975 60
04 MAR 10 1000 15.3 S 90.1 E 975 65 55
04 MAR 10 1800 16.5 S 89.6 E 975 60 1st MFR wrng on Helma
04 MAR 11 0000 17.2 S 88.9 E 975 65 60
04 MAR 11 0600 17.8 S 88.1 E 972 60
04 MAR 11 1200 18.6 S 87.5 E 972 65 60
04 MAR 11 1800 19.2 S 87.4 E 974 60
04 MAR 12 0000 19.6 S 87.1 E 976 70 60
04 MAR 12 0600 19.4 S 85.8 E 980 55
04 MAR 12 1200 19.7 S 85.5 E 985 55 45
04 MAR 12 1800 20.1 S 85.6 E 990 40
04 MAR 13 0000 21.0 S 84.3 E 994 45 35 JTWC: 21.1S/83.8E
04 MAR 13 0600 22.7 S 84.2 E 998 25
04 MAR 13 1200 22.2 S 85.1 E 998 25 20 JTWC: 23.1S/84.2E
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: FAY Cyclone Number: 18S Basin: AUW
(Storm named by the Darwin, Northern Territory, TCWC)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 MAR 14 0530 10.5 S 135.5 E 1002 25
04 MAR 14 1330 10.6 S 135.0 E 1002 25
04 MAR 14 1830 10.0 S 135.2 E 1001 25 Relocated
04 MAR 15 0030 10.5 S 134.5 E 1000 25
04 MAR 15 0630 10.5 S 133.0 E 998 25
04 MAR 15 1230 10.5 S 131.7 E 998 30
04 MAR 15 1800 10.7 S 130.6 E 997 30
04 MAR 16 0000 11.3 S 129.4 E 997 30
04 MAR 16 0600 11.6 S 128.5 E 996 30 30
04 MAR 16 1200 11.7 S 127.9 E 995 35 Named TC Fay
04 MAR 16 1800 11.8 S 127.6 E 992 35 40 JTWC: 12.3S/126.9E
04 MAR 17 0000 12.1 S 127.9 E 992 40 Relocated
04 MAR 17 0600 12.4 S 127.4 E 990 35 40
04 MAR 17 1200 12.7 S 127.1 E 985 45
04 MAR 17 1800 12.8 S 126.8 E 980 45 50
04 MAR 18 0000 13.0 S 126.8 E 978 55
04 MAR 18 0600 13.1 S 126.7 E 976 65 60
04 MAR 18 1200 13.2 S 126.6 E 972 65
04 MAR 18 1800 13.2 S 125.9 E 970 75 70
04 MAR 19 0000 12.6 S 125.6 E 964 70
04 MAR 19 0400 12.7 S 125.5 E 964 75 70 Perth warnings
04 MAR 19 1000 12.9 S 125.2 E 955 80
04 MAR 19 1600 13.1 S 124.9 E 955 90 80
04 MAR 19 2200 13.2 S 124.5 E 950 80
04 MAR 20 0400 13.0 S 124.7 E 950 90 80
04 MAR 20 1000 13.2 S 124.5 E 945 85
04 MAR 20 1600 13.4 S 124.0 E 945 100 85
04 MAR 20 2200 13.5 S 123.3 E 935 90
04 MAR 21 0400 13.5 S 122.9 E 935 115 90
04 MAR 21 1000 14.1 S 122.4 E 910 110
04 MAR 21 1600 14.1 S 121.5 E 910 120 115
04 MAR 21 2200 14.2 S 121.1 E 920 105
04 MAR 22 0400 14.0 S 120.7 E 925 115 100
04 MAR 22 1000 14.2 S 120.7 E 925 100
04 MAR 22 1600 14.3 S 120.2 E 920 105
04 MAR 22 2200 14.4 S 120.2 E 930 100
04 MAR 23 0400 14.2 S 120.3 E 935 105 95
04 MAR 23 1000 14.5 S 120.9 E 950 80
04 MAR 23 1600 15.0 S 120.9 E 950 90 80
04 MAR 23 2200 15.3 S 121.2 E 970 60
04 MAR 24 0400 15.6 S 121.5 E 970 80 60
04 MAR 24 1000 16.2 S 121.7 E 970 60
04 MAR 24 1600 16.7 S 121.7 E 960 80 75
04 MAR 24 2200 17.1 S 121.7 E 955 80
04 MAR 25 0400 17.6 S 121.4 E 955 75 75
04 MAR 25 1000 18.0 S 120.9 E 960 70
04 MAR 25 1600 18.0 S 120.4 E 960 75 70
04 MAR 25 2200 18.1 S 120.2 E 960 70
04 MAR 26 0400 18.4 S 120.0 E 960 90 70
04 MAR 26 1000 18.9 S 119.9 E 945 85
04 MAR 26 1600 19.2 S 120.0 E 940 115 90
04 MAR 26 2200 19.6 S 120.1 E 940 90
04 MAR 27 0400 20.3 S 120.1 E 950 95 80 Inland
04 MAR 27 1000 20.9 S 120.1 E 970 65
04 MAR 27 1600 21.1 S 120.6 E 980 65 50
04 MAR 27 2200 21.4 S 120.5 E 980 50
04 MAR 28 0400 21.5 S 120.8 E 988 45
04 MAR 28 1000 21.6 S 121.1 E 998 30
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Storm Name: OSCAR-ITSENG Cyclone Number: 20S Basin: AUW/SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 12 (First named by Perth TCWC)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 MAR 20 2200 12.0 S 102.0 E 998 30
04 MAR 21 0600 13.3 S 103.8 E 1000 25
04 MAR 22 0400 15.3 S 102.0 E 1002 25 Perth Trop Wx. Outlook
04 MAR 23 0400 15.1 S 99.1 E 998 30
04 MAR 23 1000 15.3 S 98.5 E 996 35 30
04 MAR 23 1600 15.0 S 98.0 E 996 30
04 MAR 23 2200 14.8 S 97.4 E 985 45 50 Named TC Oscar by Perth
04 MAR 24 0400 14.5 S 96.6 E 985 50
04 MAR 24 1000 14.8 S 95.7 E 980 55 55
04 MAR 24 1600 14.8 S 95.1 E 975 60
04 MAR 24 2200 15.1 S 93.7 E 975 60 60
04 MAR 25 0400 15.6 S 93.3 E 960 70
04 MAR 25 1000 16.4 S 92.5 E 960 70 70
04 MAR 25 1600 16.4 S 92.7 E 950 75
04 MAR 25 2200 17.0 S 92.1 E 935 110 95
04 MAR 26 0400 17.3 S 92.2 E 935 95
04 MAR 26 1000 17.7 S 92.0 E 935 105 95
04 MAR 26 1600 17.8 S 91.7 E 935 95
04 MAR 26 2200 17.9 S 91.3 E 940 90 90
04 MAR 27 0400 17.9 S 90.7 E 965 70
04 MAR 27 1000 19.1 S 90.5 E 970 50 55
04 MAR 27 1600 19.8 S 90.2 E 975 50
04 MAR 27 1800 19.4 S 89.9 E 978 55 1st MFR wrng on Itseng
04 MAR 28 0000 19.5 S 89.3 E 986 35 50
04 MAR 28 0600 19.5 S 89.0 E 995 30
04 MAR 28 1200 19.7 S 89.2 E 998 30
04 MAR 28 1800 20.0 S 89.0 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts S quads
*************************************************************************
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NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern
Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea.
The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from
warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S.
Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center
position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the
Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the
differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Cyclone EVAN (15P) 29 Feb - 06 Mar
Coral Sea Hybrid Cyclone 02 - 05 Mar
Tropical Cyclone GRACE (19P / 07F) 18 - 24 Mar
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Storm Name: EVAN Cyclone Number: 15P Basin: AUE/AUW
(Storm named by the Darwin, Northern Territory, TCWC)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 FEB 29 0030 14.0 S 140.0 E 1003 25
04 FEB 29 0630 14.0 S 140.0 E 1002 25
04 FEB 29 1230 14.0 S 139.7 E 1002 25
04 FEB 29 1830 13.3 S 139.3 E 1000 30
04 MAR 01 0000 13.3 S 138.7 E 1000 30
04 MAR 01 0600 13.9 S 137.5 E 994 35 Named TC Evan
04 MAR 01 1200 13.9 S 136.5 E 994 40 Over Groote Eylandt
04 MAR 01 1800 14.0 S 135.5 E 35 30 Inland
04 MAR 02 0000 14.1 S 134.8 E 30 JTWC warning
04 MAR 02 0600 14.3 S 134.6 E 25 "
04 MAR 03 0400 14.5 S 129.0 E 1000 30 Perth warnings
04 MAR 03 1000 14.1 S 128.4 E 1000 30
04 MAR 03 1600 14.3 S 126.6 E 1000 30
04 MAR 03 2200 14.4 S 126.0 E 1000 30
04 MAR 04 0400 14.7 S 125.0 E 1000 30
04 MAR 04 1000 15.4 S 124.0 E 999 30
04 MAR 04 1600 15.8 S 122.9 E 999 30
04 MAR 04 2200 16.2 S 122.0 E 999 30
04 MAR 05 0100 16.3 S 121.5 E 999 30
04 MAR 05 0400 16.5 S 121.0 E 1000 30
04 MAR 05 1000 16.5 S 120.0 E 1000 25
04 MAR 05 1600 16.6 S 119.0 E 1000 25
04 MAR 05 2200 17.0 S 118.2 E 1000 25
04 MAR 06 0400 17.6 S 117.5 E 1000 25
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUE
(Storm was a subtropical or hybrid cyclone)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 MAR 02 0000 14.0 S 154.0 E 1003 25
04 MAR 02 0600 14.0 S 154.0 E 1002 25
04 MAR 02 1200 14.0 S 153.0 E 1002 25
04 MAR 02 1800 14.0 S 152.0 E 1001 25
04 MAR 03 0000 14.0 S 151.0 E 1000 40 Secondary cntr 18S/159E
04 MAR 03 0600 14.5 S 149.6 E 1000 40 Secondary cntr 18S/157E
04 MAR 03 1200 13.5 S 150.0 E 1000 40 Trough to 20S/160E
04 MAR 03 1800 14.5 S 151.5 E 1000 40 "
04 MAR 04 0000 14.5 S 152.5 E 1002 45
04 MAR 04 0600 15.0 S 153.0 E 998 40 New LOW fcst to form
04 MAR 04 1200 20.5 S 157.0 E 999 40 Begin trk of new LOW
04 MAR 04 1800 22.0 S 156.5 E 994 50
04 MAR 05 0000 23.3 S 154.2 E 994 55
04 MAR 05 0600 25.0 S 152.5 E 994 55
04 MAR 05 1200 26.0 S 152.5 E 994 45 Inland
04 MAR 05 1800 27.5 S 152.5 E 994 45 Moved out of BNE's AOR
Note: The situation in the Coral Sea and along the Queensland coast was
rather complex during the early days of March. The track above follows
the initial LOW through 04/0600 UTC with a secondary center's location
given in the remarks. The warnings from Brisbane shifted to a new LOW
at 04/1200 UTC and dropped the earlier one. This was the storm which
adversely affected southeastern Queensland and northeastern New South
Wales. The storm moved out of Brisbane's AOR after 05/1800 UTC and I
do not have any information on the system thereafter.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: GRACE Cyclone Number: 19P Basin: AUE/SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 07F (Name assigned by Brisbane TCWC)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 MAR 18 0600 14.5 S 145.5 E 998 30
04 MAR 18 1200 15.0 S 145.5 E 998 40 LOW not tropical yet
04 MAR 18 1800 14.5 S 145.5 E 996 40
04 MAR 19 0000 15.5 S 145.3 E 997 40
04 MAR 19 0600 15.5 S 145.3 E 995 40 2nd LOW 16.5S/146.5E
04 MAR 19 1200 16.5 S 146.5 E 30 Track of new LOW
04 MAR 19 1800 15.6 S 146.3 E 994 30
04 MAR 20 0000 16.0 S 146.5 E 994 40
04 MAR 20 0600 16.5 S 147.1 E 993 40
04 MAR 20 1200 16.5 S 148.4 E 993 40
04 MAR 20 1800 16.3 S 149.4 E 992 40
04 MAR 21 0000 16.3 S 150.5 E 994 40
04 MAR 21 0600 17.3 S 152.0 E 990 40
04 MAR 21 1200 18.5 S 153.5 E 990 40
04 MAR 21 1800 20.0 S 155.0 E 988 35 45 Named TC Grace
04 MAR 22 0000 20.3 S 155.9 E 985 50
04 MAR 22 0600 20.9 S 156.9 E 985 30 50 JTWC: 20.3S/155.9E
04 MAR 22 1200 22.3 S 158.2 E 985 50
04 MAR 22 1800 22.5 S 159.0 E 985 25 50 JTWC: 21.6S/158.1E
04 MAR 23 0000 22.6 S 160.0 E 985 50
04 MAR 23 0600 23.0 S 160.6 E 985 45 Fiji warnings
04 MAR 23 1200 23.4 S 161.4 E 988 40
04 MAR 23 1800 23.6 S 162.3 E 988 45 Extratropical
04 MAR 24 0000 22.9 S 162.6 E 988 45
04 MAR 24 0600 23.0 S 163.0 E 988 45
04 MAR 24 1200 23.0 S 164.0 E 986 55
04 MAR 24 1800 23.0 S 164.5 E 986 55
Note: Prior to Grace being named, gales were forecast well to the north
and south of the center. The definition of a tropical cyclone in WMO
Region V requires that gales be present near the center; hence, the storm
remained unnamed until there was evidence of gale-force winds near the
LOW's center. Following Fiji's last warning at 24/1800 UTC, general
gale warnings were issued for a few more days for the extratropical
remnants of Grace; however, no center coordinates were specified.
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SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and
Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning
Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor,
Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with
those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Depression (06F) 20 - 22 Mar
Tropical Depression (08F) 30 Mar - 01 Apr
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Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 06F
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 MAR 20 2100 18.5 S 164.5 E 998 25 Some peripheral gales
04 MAR 21 0600 19.0 S 166.5 E 997 20 "
04 MAR 21 2100 21.2 S 169.4 E 994 25 "
04 MAR 22 0600 22.1 S 170.1 E 994 25 "
04 MAR 22 1800 24.5 S 172.3 E 1000 25 Leaving Fiji's AOR
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 08F
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
04 MAR 30 0600 23.0 S 173.0 W 1002 40 Gales well S of cntr
04 MAR 30 1800 23.0 S 167.0 W 1002 35 Relocated/Gales to SW
04 MAR 31 0600 22.5 S 167.5 W 1002 35 Gales well SW of cntr
04 MAR 31 2100 21.9 S 162.7 W 1006 Relocated again
04 APR 01 0600 22.0 S 163.0 W 1006 Becoming extratropical
Note: The track for this system is highly dubious. There are two very
large jumps due to relocations, or else transferring the center of
interest to another weak LLCC. Also, in the Fiji bulletins, this system
at one point was referred to as 09F due to a typographical error--that
was corrected in the 31/2100 UTC Tropical Disturbance Summary. No
value was given for the MSW in the final two summaries, but a separate
gale warning was issued as late as 31/1900 UTC.
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!!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!!
To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should
be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
analysts at the several warning centers.
For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:
http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>
SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
websites:
ftp:// ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
http://mpittweather.com>
PREPARED BY:
Gary Padgett [email protected]
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:
Michael V. Padua [email protected]
[email protected]
Huang Chunliang [email protected]
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Document: trak0403.htm
Updated: 26th December 2006 |
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