[Index]
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks November 2001
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]
| Tropical
Cyclones
[Index] |
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks November 2001 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - NOVEMBER 2001
!!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!
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ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico
NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for Atlantic Basin
tropical cyclones is based upon operational advisories from
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center,
located in Miami, Florida, USA. The MSW are based on a
1-min averaging period, which is used by all U.S. civilian
and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings.
The track information for the initial non-tropical and later
extratropical stages of Hurricanes Noel and Olga were taken
from the High Seas Forecasts issued by the Marine Prediction
Center (north of 31N) and the Tropical Prediction Center
(south of 31N). Also, David Roth contributed some tracking
information for the pre-warning phase of Olga.
There were several gale and storm systems in the subtropics
during November which exhibited some hybrid or subtropical
characteristics. I hope to get some tracks for these systems
from David Roth later on, and if so, I will include them as
addenda with the cyclone tracks file for a subsequent month.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Hurricane MICHELLE (15) 29 Oct - 06 Nov
Hurricane NOEL (16) 01 - 07 Nov
Hurricane OLGA (17 / STS #2) 23 Nov - 06 Dec
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Storm Name: MICHELLE Cyclone Number: 15 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 OCT 29 1800 13.0 N 83.5 W 1005 30
01 OCT 30 0000 13.7 N 83.5 W 1005 30
01 OCT 30 0600 13.9 N 84.0 W 1007 30 Inland in Nicaragua
01 OCT 30 1200 13.9 N 84.0 W 1005 30
01 OCT 30 1800 12.9 N 83.4 W 1006 30
01 OCT 31 0000 13.8 N 83.6 W 1004 30
01 OCT 31 0600 13.9 N 83.6 W 1006 30
01 OCT 31 1200 14.6 N 83.6 W 1004 30
01 OCT 31 1800 15.0 N 83.3 W 1002 30
01 NOV 01 0000 15.8 N 83.1 W 1001 35 Back over Caribbean
01 NOV 01 0600 16.6 N 83.5 W 997 50
01 NOV 01 1200 17.0 N 83.8 W 993 60
01 NOV 01 1800 17.0 N 83.8 W 991 55
01 NOV 02 0000 17.4 N 83.9 W 991 55
01 NOV 02 0600 17.5 N 83.9 W 985 60
01 NOV 02 1200 17.8 N 83.9 W 978 65
01 NOV 02 1800 18.0 N 84.1 W 967 75
01 NOV 03 0000 18.5 N 84.0 W 957 95
01 NOV 03 0600 18.8 N 84.3 W 940 110
01 NOV 03 1200 18.9 N 84.3 W 937 115
01 NOV 03 1800 19.3 N 84.1 W 933 115 See Note
01 NOV 04 0000 19.8 N 83.8 W 944 115
01 NOV 04 0600 20.1 N 83.3 W 944 115
01 NOV 04 1200 20.8 N 82.5 W 950 115
01 NOV 04 1800 21.8 N 81.7 W 949 115
01 NOV 05 0000 22.5 N 80.9 W 965 95 Over Cuba
01 NOV 05 0600 23.1 N 79.8 W 971 85 Moving back over water
01 NOV 05 1200 24.3 N 78.0 W 973 75 Over Andros Island
01 NOV 05 1800 25.5 N 76.3 W 980 65 Near Eleuthera Island
01 NOV 06 0000 26.3 N 74.5 W 980 75
01 NOV 06 0600 26.9 N 72.7 W 977 75
01 NOV 06 1200 27.1 N 69.5 W 980 65
01 NOV 06 1800 28.5 N 67.0 W 989 65
Note: The final NHC discussion noted that cold air was invading the core
of Michelle and that the center was becoming difficult to locate. The
High Seas Forecast for 07/0000 UTC mentions only a trough with winds
to gale force in the western Atlantic, so presumably Michelle rapidly
opened up into a trough after 1800 UTC on 6 November. Another item--the
seasonal wrap-up summary on TPC/NHC's website indicates that Michelle's
peak intensity has been upped to 120 kts in post-storm analysis. Since
I don't know exactly at which synoptic hours this maximum applies, I
have chosen not to indicate this in the track above.
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Storm Name: NOEL Cyclone Number: 16 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 01 0000 35.0 N 43.0 W 1016 30 Non-tropical LOW
01 NOV 01 1200 33.0 N 42.0 W 1013 35
01 NOV 01 1800 32.0 N 42.0 W 1009 40
01 NOV 02 0000 33.0 N 41.0 W 1010 35
01 NOV 02 0600 34.0 N 42.0 W 1011 35
01 NOV 02 1200 32.0 N 43.0 W 1007 40
01 NOV 02 1800 32.0 N 44.0 W 1003 35
01 NOV 03 0000 33.0 N 44.0 W 1002 45
01 NOV 03 0600 34.0 N 45.0 W 1000 50
01 NOV 03 1200 35.0 N 49.0 W 992 55
01 NOV 03 1800 34.0 N 50.0 W 984 55
01 NOV 04 0000 34.0 N 50.0 W 985 50
01 NOV 04 0600 34.0 N 50.0 W 990 45
01 NOV 04 1200 34.0 N 50.0 W 992 45
01 NOV 04 1800 35.0 N 50.0 W 996 40
01 NOV 05 0000 36.0 N 50.0 W 998 35
01 NOV 05 0600 37.0 N 50.0 W 998 35
01 NOV 05 1200 37.8 N 50.4 W 986 65 First NHC advisory
01 NOV 05 1800 38.8 N 50.3 W 986 65
01 NOV 06 0000 39.7 N 49.7 W 990 60
01 NOV 06 0600 41.3 N 49.2 W 984 55
01 NOV 06 1200 43.0 N 48.5 W 996 45 Last NHC advisory
01 NOV 06 1800 45.0 N 48.0 W 1000 40 Extratropical
01 NOV 07 0000 47.0 N 47.0 W 1003 40
01 NOV 07 1200 53.0 N 48.0 W 997 35
Note: The track and intensity information prior to NHC's naming and
upgrading the system to Hurricane Noel at 05/1200 UTC, and also for
the final extratropical stage, were taken from MPC's High Seas Fore-
casts.
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Storm Name: OLGA Cyclone Number: 17 Basin: ATL
(Initially identified as Subtropical Storm #2)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 23 0000 30.0 N 52.3 W 1003 35 Info from David Roth
01 NOV 23 0600 30.0 N 51.0 W 1003 35 From TPC High Seas Fcst
01 NOV 23 1200 30.2 N 51.0 W 1000 35 Info from David Roth
01 NOV 23 1800 30.0 N 51.0 W 994 35 From TPC High Seas Fcst
01 NOV 24 0000 29.3 N 50.3 W 994 40 Info from David Roth
01 NOV 24 0600 29.5 N 50.0 W 1000 45 From TPC High Seas Fcst
01 NOV 24 1200 29.5 N 49.8 W 999 45 Info from David Roth
01 NOV 24 1800 30.3 N 49.5 W 990 50 1st advisory on STS #2
01 NOV 25 0000 31.2 N 50.2 W 990 50
01 NOV 25 0600 31.9 N 51.8 W 990 50
01 NOV 25 1200 31.8 N 53.5 W 989 55
01 NOV 25 1800 30.8 N 55.0 W 987 60
01 NOV 26 0000 30.1 N 55.5 W 979 60
01 NOV 26 0600 30.1 N 55.6 W 979 60
01 NOV 26 1200 30.6 N 55.9 W 979 60 Classified as TS Olga
01 NOV 26 1800 31.1 N 56.0 W 977 65
01 NOV 27 0000 32.1 N 56.2 W 975 75
01 NOV 27 0600 32.8 N 57.1 W 975 75
01 NOV 27 1200 31.6 N 57.2 W 975 75
01 NOV 27 1800 32.0 N 55.9 W 973 80
01 NOV 28 0000 32.3 N 55.9 W 973 80
01 NOV 28 0600 32.6 N 55.7 W 975 75
01 NOV 28 1200 32.3 N 56.2 W 977 75
01 NOV 28 1800 31.4 N 57.0 W 979 70
01 NOV 29 0000 30.3 N 57.6 W 987 65
01 NOV 29 0600 29.3 N 58.7 W 990 60
01 NOV 29 1200 28.4 N 60.1 W 992 60
01 NOV 29 1800 27.3 N 61.8 W 994 55
01 NOV 30 0000 26.2 N 63.2 W 998 45
01 NOV 30 0600 25.4 N 65.0 W 1001 35
01 NOV 30 1200 24.5 N 66.2 W 1003 30
01 NOV 30 1800 23.7 N 67.1 W 1003 30
01 DEC 01 0000 23.5 N 67.7 W 1004 30
01 DEC 01 0600 23.0 N 68.5 W 1005 30
01 DEC 01 1200 22.8 N 68.3 W 1004 30
01 DEC 01 1800 22.8 N 68.6 W 1004 30
01 DEC 02 0000 23.4 N 68.9 W 1003 35
01 DEC 02 0600 24.3 N 68.9 W 1003 35
01 DEC 02 1200 25.6 N 69.2 W 1001 40
01 DEC 02 1800 26.4 N 69.5 W 1001 40
01 DEC 03 0000 27.0 N 69.7 W 1004 35
01 DEC 03 0600 27.4 N 69.9 W 1005 35
01 DEC 03 1200 27.8 N 69.9 W 1005 35
01 DEC 03 1800 27.7 N 69.6 W 1005 35
01 DEC 04 0000 27.7 N 69.1 W 1006 30
01 DEC 04 0600 27.8 N 68.2 W 1006 30
01 DEC 04 1200 27.8 N 68.0 W 1006 30
01 DEC 04 1800 27.0 N 67.4 W 1006 25 Final NHC advisory
01 DEC 05 0000 27.0 N 67.0 W 1008 25 From TPC High Seas Fcst
01 DEC 05 0600 26.0 N 68.0 W 1008 25
01 DEC 05 1200 26.0 N 69.0 W 1009 25
01 DEC 05 1800 25.0 N 72.0 W 1012 30
01 DEC 06 0600 23.5 N 75.0 W 1013 Fcst to dissipate
Note: By 06/1200 UTC the remnants of Olga had elongated into a trough
which was forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and
dissipate.
*************************************************************************
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NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180
NOTE: The tracking information for Northwest Pacific Basin tropical
cyclones is based primarily upon operational warnings from the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy at
Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Comparisons were made with track
coordinates given in advisories from the meteorological services
of Japan (JMA) and the Philippines (PAGASA). In general, whenever
the center position differed by more than 40-50 nm from JTWC's, an
entry was made in the Remarks column.
Michael V. Padua, owner of the Typhoon 2000 webpage, sent me the
PAGASA and JMA tracks for the cyclones, and Huang Chunliang of
Fuzhou City, China, sent me the tracks from the National
Meteorological Center of China (NMCC) and the Hong Kong
Observatory (HKO). A special thanks to Michael and Chunliang
for their assistance.
The 1-min avg MSW were taken from the JTWC advisories while the
10-min avg MSW and central pressure estimates were obtained from
JMA's advisories. The 10-min MSW estimates from the other centers
follow the primary tracks in a separate table.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Typhoon LINGLING (27W / 0123 / NANANG) 06 - 12 Nov
Tropical Storm (28W / ONDOY) 17 - 25 Nov
Tropical Storm (29W / PABLING) 18 - 24 Nov
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Storm Name: LINGLING Cyclone Number: 27W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: NANANG JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0123
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 06 0000 10.1 N 127.6 E 1004 25 25 PAGASA: 10.3 N, 129.0 E
01 NOV 06 0600 10.4 N 127.0 E 1002 25 25 PAGASA: 10.4 N, 128.0 E
01 NOV 06 1200 10.5 N 126.3 E 1002 30 30 Approaching Leyte Gulf
01 NOV 06 1800 10.4 N 125.2 E 998 30 35 PAGASA: 11.2 N, 125.0 E
01 NOV 07 0000 10.8 N 124.0 E 996 35 35 Over northern Cebu
01 NOV 07 0600 10.8 N 123.6 E 994 40 35
01 NOV 07 1200 10.9 N 123.3 E 994 35 35 Near northern Negros
01 NOV 07 1800 11.1 N 122.7 E 994 40 35 JMA: 11.3 N, 123.5 E
01 NOV 08 0000 11.3 N 122.1 E 992 45 40 JMA: 11.5 N, 121.8 E
01 NOV 08 0600 11.8 N 121.9 E 990 45 45 Northwestern Panay
01 NOV 08 1200 12.1 N 121.2 E 990 55 45 Just south of Mindoro
01 NOV 08 1800 12.6 N 119.9 E 990 55 45 In Mindoro Strait
01 NOV 09 0000 12.6 N 118.8 E 985 65 50 In South China Sea
01 NOV 09 0600 13.1 N 117.7 E 975 75 60
01 NOV 09 1200 13.1 N 116.9 E 970 75 65
01 NOV 09 1800 13.4 N 116.0 E 965 90 70
01 NOV 10 0000 13.4 N 115.3 E 955 100 75
01 NOV 10 0600 13.5 N 114.9 E 950 115 80
01 NOV 10 1200 13.6 N 114.1 E 945 115 85
01 NOV 10 1800 13.6 N 113.3 E 945 115 85
01 NOV 11 0000 13.6 N 112.4 E 940 115 85
01 NOV 11 0600 13.5 N 111.8 E 940 110 85
01 NOV 11 1200 13.5 N 110.6 E 945 100 80 Approaching Vietnam
01 NOV 11 1800 13.6 N 109.4 E 980 95 55 JMA: 13.4 N, 109.0 E
01 NOV 12 0000 13.6 N 108.3 E 985 60 45 JMA: 13.0 N, 108.0 E
01 NOV 12 0600 13.6 N 107.3 E 990 45 40 Well inland
01 NOV 12 1200 13.4 N 106.1 E 996 30 JMA Warning
01 NOV 12 1800 14.0 N 105.0 E 1002 25 "
Note: Center position coordinates were in basically good agreement among
the various NWP warning centers for Typhoon Lingling, especially during
the storm's intense phase. Tabulated below are the 10-min avg MSW
estimates from the National Meteorological Center of China (NMCC),
the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO), and the Philippines (PAGASA).
Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
(GMT) NMCC HKO PAGASA
-------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 06 0000 30
01 NOV 06 0600 35
01 NOV 06 1200 35
01 NOV 06 1800 35
01 NOV 07 0000 35 30 40
01 NOV 07 0600 40 35 40
01 NOV 07 1200 40 35 40
01 NOV 07 1800 40 35 40
01 NOV 08 0000 45 40 40
01 NOV 08 0600 50 40 45
01 NOV 08 1200 50 50 55
01 NOV 08 1800 60 50 55
01 NOV 09 0000 60 50 55
01 NOV 09 0600 60 60 60
01 NOV 09 1200 65 65 65
01 NOV 09 1800 70 65 65
01 NOV 10 0000 80 75 65
01 NOV 10 0600 90 85
01 NOV 10 1200 100 90
01 NOV 10 1800 100 95
01 NOV 11 0000 100 90
01 NOV 11 0600 100 90
01 NOV 11 1200 90 85
01 NOV 11 1800 80 65
01 NOV 12 0000 60 50
01 NOV 12 0600 50 40
01 NOV 12 1200 40
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 28W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: ONDOY JMA Tropical Storm Number: None
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 17 0600 9.5 N 146.5 E 1004 30 JMA Warnings
01 NOV 17 1200 9.4 N 145.2 E 1004 30 "
01 NOV 17 1800 10.5 N 143.5 E 1002 30 "
01 NOV 18 0000 11.5 N 141.3 E 1004 30 "
01 NOV 18 0600 11.2 N 143.3 E 1002 30 "
01 NOV 18 1200 11.8 N 142.4 E 1002 25 30
01 NOV 18 1800 12.9 N 142.0 E 1002 25 30
01 NOV 19 0000 13.8 N 141.7 E 1002 25 30
01 NOV 19 0600 14.0 N 140.9 E 1002 25 30 JMA: 13.7 N, 140.0 E
01 NOV 19 1200 14.1 N 139.7 E 1002 25 30
01 NOV 19 1800 14.1 N 138.7 E 1002 25 30
01 NOV 20 0000 14.2 N 136.5 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 15.0 N, 137.5 E
01 NOV 20 0600 14.3 N 135.1 E 1004 30 30
01 NOV 20 1200 14.1 N 134.2 E 1004 35 30
01 NOV 20 1800 13.8 N 133.0 E 1004 40 30 JMA: 14.6 N, 133.2 E
01 NOV 21 0000 13.1 N 131.9 E 1004 35 30 PAGASA: 14.3 N, 133.5 E
01 NOV 21 0600 12.8 N 130.9 E 1002 35 30 JMA: 13.5 N, 131.6 E
01 NOV 21 1200 12.8 N 129.8 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 14.1 N, 131.0 E
01 NOV 21 1800 13.5 N 129.4 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 13.1 N, 130.6 E
01 NOV 22 0000 12.0 N 129.0 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 11.4 N, 128.7 E
01 NOV 22 0600 10.7 N 128.9 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 11.1 N, 129.3 E
01 NOV 22 1200 10.3 N 128.0 E 1000 30 30 JMA: 11.2 N, 128.3 E
01 NOV 22 1800 10.8 N 127.5 E 1000 30 25 JMA: 12.0 N, 129.0 E
01 NOV 23 0000 11.6 N 127.5 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 11.8 N, 129.5 E
01 NOV 23 0600 11.7 N 128.0 E 998 30 30 JMA: 13.1 N, 128.7 E
01 NOV 23 1200 12.9 N 130.1 E 998 30 30 JMA: 13.3 N, 128.5 E
01 NOV 23 1800 14.2 N 130.5 E 996 30 30 PAGASA: 13.9 N, 128.6 E
01 NOV 24 0000 15.2 N 130.3 E 996 30 30 JMA: 16.2 N, 130.2 E
01 NOV 24 0600 17.5 N 131.4 E 996 30 30
01 NOV 24 1200 19.0 N 132.0 E 996 25 30
01 NOV 24 1800 21.1 N 132.3 E 996 25 30 JMA: 20.1 N, 132.2 E
01 NOV 25 0000 21.0 N 132.4 E 1000 40 PAGASA Warnings
01 NOV 25 0600 21.5 N 133.0 E 40 "
01 NOV 25 1200 24.0 N 136.0 E 30 "
Note: As is obvious from the alternate coordinates given in the Remarks
column above, there was a lot of variance in the center position
estimates from JTWC, JMA and PAGASA--certainly not unexpected with such
a weak, nebulous system. Since the PAGASA coordinates at many times
were quite different from both JTWC and JMA, I have included them in the
table below along with PAGASA's 10-min avg MSW estimates. Note that in
the above track, the last three 10-min avg MSW values were taken from
PAGASA's warnings whereas the values through 24/1800 UTC came from
JMA's bulletins--this is the reason for the apparent upward jump in
the MSW.
Date Time MSW (kts) PAGASA Coordinates
(GMT) 10-min Lat Lon
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 20 0600 30 14.2 N 135.1 E
01 NOV 20 1200 30 14.1 N 134.6 E
01 NOV 20 1800 30 14.3 N 134.0 E
01 NOV 21 0000 35 14.3 N 133.5 E
01 NOV 21 0600 35 14.3 N 132.6 E
01 NOV 21 1200 35 14.3 N 131.7 E
01 NOV 21 1800 35 11.1 N 130.8 E
01 NOV 22 0000 35 11.1 N 130.0 E
01 NOV 22 0600 40 11.1 N 129.8 E
01 NOV 22 1200 40 10.9 N 129.3 E
01 NOV 22 1800 40 12.2 N 129.1 E
01 NOV 23 0000 40 12.2 N 128.9 E
01 NOV 23 0600 40 12.5 N 128.6 E
01 NOV 23 1200 40 13.3 N 128.6 E
01 NOV 23 1800 40 13.9 N 128.6 E
01 NOV 24 0000 40 15.8 N 130.0 E
01 NOV 24 0600 40 17.5 N 131.4 E
01 NOV 24 1200 40 18.4 N 131.8 E
01 NOV 24 1800 40 19.5 N 132.4 E
01 NOV 25 0000 40 21.0 N 132.4 E
01 NOV 25 0600 40 21.5 N 133.0 E
01 NOV 25 1200 30 24.0 N 136.0 E
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 29W Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: PABLING JMA Tropical Storm Number: None
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 18 1800 5.0 N 106.8 E 1004 25 30 JMA: 4.2 N, 107.2 E
01 NOV 19 0000 4.6 N 107.1 E 1004 25 30 JMA: 3.6 N, 106.4 E
01 NOV 19 0600 4.6 N 108.1 E 1004 25 30 JMA: 4.0 N, 108.4 E
01 NOV 19 1200 4.7 N 109.0 E 1004 25 30 JMA: 5.0 N, 108.2 E
01 NOV 19 1800 5.0 N 109.9 E 1004 25 30 JMA: 5.0 N, 108.0 E
01 NOV 20 0000 5.5 N 110.4 E 1004 25 30 JMA: 6.7 N, 108.9 E
01 NOV 20 0600 6.3 N 110.6 E 1004 25 30
01 NOV 20 1200 5.8 N 111.8 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 6.5 N, 112.0 E
01 NOV 20 1800 5.9 N 112.1 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 6.8 N, 112.8 E
01 NOV 21 0000 6.2 N 112.5 E 1004 35 30 JMA: 6.7 N, 112.5 E
01 NOV 21 0600 7.9 N 113.4 E 1004 35 30
01 NOV 21 1200 8.1 N 113.9 E 1006 35 30
01 NOV 21 1800 8.4 N 113.9 E 1006 35 30
01 NOV 22 0000 8.4 N 114.0 E 1006 35 30
01 NOV 22 0600 8.5 N 115.3 E 1006 35 30
01 NOV 22 1200 8.4 N 116.0 E 1006 35 30
01 NOV 22 1800 8.4 N 116.0 E 1006 35 30 JMA: 9.0 N, 115.0 E
01 NOV 23 0000 8.4 N 116.5 E 1008 30 30 JMA: 7.0 N, 115.0 E
01 NOV 23 0600 8.1 N 117.3 E 30 30 PAGASA: 8.7 N, 117.1 E
01 NOV 23 1200 8.6 N 118.1 E 30 Over southern Palawan
01 NOV 23 1800 8.6 N 119.2 E 30 PAGASA Warning
01 NOV 24 0000 8.7 N 119.6 E 30 "
01 NOV 24 0600 8.7 N 120.3 E 25 "
Note: PAGASA issued warnings on this system only after it had entered its
AOR, from 22/0600 UTC onward. During the period when both PAGASA and
JTWC were issuing warnings, the respective coordinates were in good
agreement. PAGASA's 10-min avg MSW was 30 kts for all warnings except
for the last one at 24/0600 UTC. In the table above the 10-min avg
MSW values were obtained from JMA's bulletins through 22/1200 UTC; from
22/1800 UTC onward I used PAGASA's.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea
NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for North Indian Ocean
Basin tropical cyclones is based upon operational warnings from
the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy
at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The MSW are based on a 1-min averaging
period, which is used by all U.S. civilian and military weather
services for tropical cyclone warnings. Some information was
also obtained from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD).
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Cyclone (04B) 09 - 12 Nov
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 04B Basin: NIO
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 09 0000 12.4 N 82.4 E 1004 25 From JTWC STWO
01 NOV 09 1800 13.2 N 81.3 E 1004 25 "
01 NOV 10 1400 14.0 N 82.4 E 1002 30 From JTWC TCFA
01 Nov 10 1800 14.0 N 81.8 E 1004 25 From JTWC STWO
01 NOV 11 0000 15.1 N 82.7 E 30 First JTWC Wrng
01 NOV 11 1200 15.4 N 84.1 E 35 IMD: 16.5 N, 83.5 E
01 NOV 12 0000 16.3 N 85.3 E 30 Final JTWC Wrng
01 NOV 12 1800 18.7 N 87.0 E 1003 25 From JTWC STWO
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E
NOTE: The tracking coordinates, 10-min avg MSW, and estimates of
central pressure were obtained from the RSMC La Reunion's
(MFR) advisories, while the 1-min avg MSW values were taken
from JTWC's warnings.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Depression (MFR 03 / 04S) 15 - 23 Nov
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 04S Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 03
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 15 1200 9.0 S 78.0 E 1005 20 Locally 25-30 kts
01 NOV 16 0600 9.5 S 76.5 E 1005 20 "
01 NOV 17 0600 10.0 S 76.0 E 1005 20 "
01 NOV 19 0600 9.5 S 78.2 E 1005 20 "
01 NOV 20 1200 11.6 S 82.1 E 1003 20 "
01 NOV 21 0600 12.0 S 83.0 E 998 30 30 Tropical Depression
01 NOV 21 1800 13.2 S 83.1 E 998 35 30
01 NOV 22 0000 11.8 S 83.3 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts
01 NOV 22 0600 12.2 S 83.0 E 1000 35 25 "
01 NOV 22 1200 12.4 S 82.5 E 1000 25 "
01 NOV 22 1800 12.5 S 81.5 E 999 35 25 "
01 NOV 23 0000 12.7 S 80.4 E 1000 25 "
01 NOV 23 0600 12.8 S 79.8 E 1000 25 25 "
01 NOV 23 1200 13.0 S 79.2 E 1002 25 "
Note: Bulletins were issued by MFR at 16/1200 UTC, 18/1200 UTC, and
20/0600 UTC, but no coordinates were given since the disturbance was
very broad and ill-defined. The bulletin at 16/1200 UTC indicated that
several small LLCCs were evident.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E
NOTE: The tracking information presented below was obtained from
operational warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning
Centre at Perth, Western Australia. Also, the central pressure
estimates and 10-min avg MSW values were obtained from Perth's
warnings while the 1-min avg MSW was taken from JTWC's warnings.
Tropical Cyclone Bessi was renamed Bako by Mauritius after
crossing 90E. The coordinates, central pressure and 10-min avg
MSW estimates were taken from RSMC La Reunion's (MFR) warnings
from that point onward.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical LOW 07 - 13 Nov
Tropical Cyclone BESSI-BAKO (05S / MFR 04) 25 Nov - 06 Dec
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUW
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 07 1800 6.9 S 88.4 E 1004 25 From JTWC STWO
01 NOV 08 1800 8.0 S 89.5 E 1004 25 "
01 NOV 09 1800 10.4 S 92.3 E 1003 25 "
01 NOV 09 2000 10.7 S 92.0 E 1000 30 JTWC TCFA
01 NOV 10 0500 11.7 S 93.4 E 1000 30 BoM Warning (Perth)
01 NOV 10 1000 11.9 S 93.5 E 998 30
01 NOV 10 1600 12.5 S 93.5 E 998 25 30 JTWC-18Z: 12.4S, 94.3 E
01 NOV 10 2200 12.7 S 93.5 E 1000 25 Final Gale Warning
01 NOV 11 0400 13.0 S 93.0 E 1000 25 From BoM TC Outlook
01 NOV 12 0400 14.0 S 92.0 E 1004 20
01 NOV 13 0400 13.0 S 89.0 E 1004 20
Note: No 10-min avg MSW winds were specifically mentioned in the Gale
Warnings and Tropical Cyclone Outlooks from Perth, but based on the
estimated pressure and the fact that gales were anticipated, it seems
likely that 30-kt winds would have been associated with the depression
on 10 November.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: BESSI-BAKO Cyclone Number: 05S Basin: AUW/SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 04
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 25 0600 6.5 S 96.4 E 20 JTWC: JMV File
01 NOV 25 1200 6.8 S 96.1 E 25
01 NOV 25 1800 7.0 S 95.8 E 25
01 NOV 26 0000 7.3 S 95.5 E 25
01 NOV 26 0600 7.5 S 95.3 E 25
01 NOV 26 1200 7.9 S 95.0 E 25
01 NOV 26 1700 8.3 S 94.1 E 1000 25 25 BoM Warnings (Perth)
01 NOV 26 2200 8.5 S 93.9 E 1000 25 25
01 NOV 27 0300 8.5 S 94.0 E 998 30 30
01 NOV 27 0600 8.2 S 93.5 E 995 30 35
01 NOV 27 1000 8.1 S 93.4 E 995 35 35
01 NOV 27 1600 8.4 S 92.8 E 990 45 45
01 NOV 27 2200 8.5 S 92.5 E 985 45 50
01 NOV 28 0400 9.3 S 92.0 E 975 45 60
01 NOV 28 1000 10.0 S 91.0 E 975 55 60
01 NOV 28 1600 10.7 S 91.3 E 982 55 55
01 NOV 28 2200 11.5 S 91.7 E 985 55 50
01 NOV 29 0300 11.5 S 92.5 E 990 55 40
01 NOV 29 1000 12.9 S 92.2 E 990 55 40
01 NOV 29 1600 13.8 S 92.0 E 992 50 40
01 NOV 29 2200 14.3 S 90.5 E 992 45 40
01 NOV 30 0400 14.6 S 89.1 E 992 40 40
01 NOV 30 0600 14.5 S 88.8 E 993 45 40 MFR Warnings
01 NOV 30 1200 14.5 S 87.7 E 990 40
01 NOV 30 1800 14.5 S 86.5 E 988 55 40
01 DEC 01 0000 14.7 S 86.3 E 988 40
01 DEC 01 0600 15.0 S 85.7 E 984 55 50
01 DEC 01 1200 15.1 S 85.4 E 976 55
01 DEC 01 1800 15.3 S 85.4 E 972 60 60
01 DEC 02 0000 15.6 S 85.1 E 972 60
01 DEC 02 0600 16.0 S 85.1 E 972 65 60
01 DEC 02 1200 16.6 S 85.4 E 971 60
01 DEC 02 1800 17.0 S 85.8 E 966 75 65
01 DEC 03 0000 17.2 S 85.9 E 966 65
01 DEC 03 0600 17.4 S 85.8 E 970 70 65
01 DEC 03 1200 17.6 S 86.1 E 972 60
01 DEC 03 1800 18.0 S 86.4 E 976 65 60 JTWC: 18.6 S, 86.5 E
01 DEC 04 0000 18.4 S 86.2 E 978 55
01 DEC 04 0600 18.0 S 86.4 E 990 45 40
01 DEC 04 1200 18.1 S 86.4 E 992 40
01 DEC 04 1800 18.1 S 86.2 E 995 35 35
01 DEC 05 0000 17.9 S 86.4 E 998 30
01 DEC 05 0600 18.5 S 87.1 E 999 30 30 JTWC: 18.2 S, 86.0 E
01 DEC 05 1200 19.2 S 87.0 E 1000 35 Extratropical
01 DEC 05 1800 19.3 S 86.6 E 1000 35 Gales well south of ctr
01 DEC 06 0000 19.9 S 86.8 E 1000 35
01 DEC 06 0600 21.1 S 86.9 E 1000 35
01 DEC 06 1200 21.4 S 86.7 E 1002 35
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E
NOTE: The tracking information presented below was obtained from
operational warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning
Centres at Brisbane, Queensland, and Darwin, Northern Territory.
Also, the central pressure estimates and 10-min avg MSW values
were obtained from the Australian centres' warnings while the
1-min avg MSW was taken from JTWC warnings.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical LOW (03S) 15 - 24 Nov
Non-tropical LOW 27 - 29 Nov
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 03S Basin: AUE/AUW
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 15 0430 9.7 S 147.0 E 1006
01 NOV 16 0230 10.6 S 145.6 E 1006 20 JTWC STWO
01 NOV 16 0445 10.0 S 144.0 E 1004
01 NOV 17 0445 8.0 S 142.0 E 1003 25 MSW from JTWC STWO
01 NOV 18 0445 7.0 S 140.0 E 1004 25 "
01 NOV 19 0445 7.0 S 138.0 E 1002 25 "
01 NOV 20 0445 6.5 S 133.5 E 1002 25 "
01 NOV 20 1800 6.6 S 132.0 E 1004 25 JTWC STWO
01 NOV 21 0030 6.7 S 130.3 E 1003 30 JTWC TCFA
01 NOV 21 0445 6.5 S 130.5 E 1002
01 NOV 21 0600 6.9 S 128.9 E 35 JTWC Warning #1
01 NOV 21 1800 7.4 S 126.2 E 25 JTWC Warning #2
01 NOV 22 0445 5.5 S 126.5 E 1003
01 NOV 23 0445 5.0 S 126.5 E 1005
01 NOV 24 0445 12.0 S 127.0 E 1006
Note: The Darwin TCWC did not issue any gale warnings or advices on this
tropical LOW, and the daily STWOs did not indicate any 10-min avg maximum
winds associated with the system, so I have refrained from attempting to
supply any. The 1-min MSW values were all taken from various JTWC
products.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUE
(Non-tropical LOW off East Coast of Australia)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 27 1800 25.5 S 157.0 E 1003 35
01 NOV 28 0000 27.0 S 157.0 E 1002 40
01 NOV 28 0600 27.5 S 158.5 E 1000 40
01 NOV 28 1200 28.5 S 159.5 E 1002 40
01 NOV 28 1800 28.7 S 160.5 E 1003 40
01 NOV 29 0000 27.3 S 162.0 E 1004 30
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E
NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for South Pacific
Basin tropical cyclones was taken from real-time operational
warnings issued by the Nadi TCWC, Fiji for positions north of
25S and from the Wellington, New Zealand office for positions
south of 25S. Warnings from JTWC were utilized for the purpose
of making comparisons and for supplying information for times
when the Nadi or Wellington warnings were unavailable. The
10-min avg MSW values were taken from the Fiji or New Zealand
warnings while the 1-min avg MSW values were obtained from the
JTWC warnings.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical Cyclone TRINA (01F / 06P) 29 Nov - 03 Dec
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: TRINA Cyclone Number: 06P Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 01F
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
01 NOV 29 1800 21.5 S 160.0 W 1003 25
01 NOV 30 0000 21.5 S 159.7 W 1000 30
01 NOV 30 0600 21.9 S 159.4 W 997 35
01 NOV 30 1200 21.9 S 158.7 W 997 35 35 JTWC: 22.2 S, 159.8 W
01 NOV 30 1800 21.1 S 159.4 W 998 35
01 DEC 01 0000 21.1 S 159.0 W 998 30 35
01 DEC 01 0600 21.3 S 158.8 W 997 35
01 DEC 01 1200 21.1 S 158.6 W 997 30 35
01 DEC 01 1800 21.2 S 158.7 W 997 35
01 DEC 02 0000 21.5 S 158.5 W 998 30 Some gales far from ctr
01 DEC 02 0600 21.5 S 158.5 W 998 30 "
01 DEC 02 1200 21.0 S 157.0 W 998 30 "
01 DEC 02 1800 21.0 S 158.4 W 998 30 "
01 DEC 03 0000 20.5 S 158.2 W 998 30 "
01 DEC 03 0600 20.5 S 158.2 W 1002 30 "
01 DEC 03 1200 20.5 S 158.2 W 1002 30 "
Note: Trina was considered extratropical from 02/0000 UTC onward. The
gales were occurring in a boundary at some distance southwest of the
center.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
!!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!!
It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the
cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's
Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone
tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/
advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone
warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should
be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
analysts at the several warning centers.
For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:
http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>
In the near future I shall contact the other tropical warning
centers to see if I can locate any links to sites where their "best
tracks" might be archived.
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
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Document: trak0111.htm
Updated: 27th December 2006 |
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